Blog Posts

The Irish Polling Indicator website comes in a new look, and we have released new publicly available datasets of all polls and estimates since the 1980s. This blog post describes the new features and data before we summarise recent developments in terms of support for Irish parties.

We have updated the main graph showing the current standing of Irish political parties and independent candidates. In particular, the new graph now focuses even more on the range of our estimates.

In this blog post, we outline recent updates in relation to our polling aggregation and visualisation of results. Afterwards, we summarise the current standings of Irish political parties. Changes to the polling indicator, graphs, and website The Polling Indicator and the graphs come in a new layout.

The last general election took place one year ago - before the first confirmed case of Covid-19 in Ireland. Support for Irish parties has changed quite substantively over the last 12 months.

The Irish Polling Indicator is back! Polling institutes have released a sufficiently large number of surveys since the last General Election on 8 February to combine all polls into one estimate of public support for the parties.

Two new polls were released on the weekend before the elections. The Times reported on the results of Panelbase, a polling institute which has not published any opinion polls on vote intentions in Ireland yet.

This update adds two polls released on Sunday, 26 January 2020. A Red C poll was published in the Sunday Business Post; the Irish Mail on Sunday reported on a poll conducted by Ireland Thinks.

This update adds the poll published by Ipsos MRBI in the Irish Times on 20 January. This poll put Fianna Fáil in pole position (25 per cent), but the difference to Fine Gael (on 23 per cent) is much smaller than in the Behaviour & Attitudes poll published at the weekend, which ranked Fianna Fáil at 32 and Fine Gael at 20 per cent.

This is a long overdue update of the Irish Polling Indicator, which I had not updated since the end of 2017. This new update includes all polls published since then and also adds the polls of Ireland Thinks.

Irish survey institutes have released fifteen polls since the general election in February 2020. Currently, support for Fine Gael ranges between 30.5 and 35.5 per cent. Two polls in August and early September put Fianna Fáil at 10 and 11 per cent, the lowest ever recorded results (besides a Sunday Independent/Millward Brown poll from September 2011, which also ranked Fianna Fáil at 10 per cent).