Irish Polling Indicator
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Irish Polling Indicator: New Layout and Data
The Irish Polling Indicator website and data repositories have been updated. Following the release of four polls since the general election on 29 November 2024, we have adjusted the code, graphs, and back-end for the new electoral cycle.
24 Feb 2025
The Poll of Polls ahead of the General Election (RTÉ News)
A new article, published the day before the election on RTÉ News, presented the final Irish Polling Indicator estimates before the 2024 General Election. These estimates turned out to be the most accurate of any Irish election since 1989.
28 Nov 2024
The Poll of Polls and voter turnout (RTÉ News)
During the ongoing election campaign, Stefan Müller will write weekly articles for RTÉ News, focusing on insights and trends from the opinion polls, exit polls, election results, and the Irish Polling Indicator.
24 Nov 2024
The Poll of Polls and transfer patterns (RTÉ News)
During the ongoing election campaign, Stefan Müller will write weekly articles for RTÉ News, focusing on insights and trends from the opinion polls, exit polls, election results, and the Irish Polling Indicator.
17 Nov 2024
Poll of Polls: Tracking trends and voting intentions (RTÉ News)
During the ongoing election campaign, Stefan Müller will write weekly articles for RTÉ News, focusing on insights and trends from the opinion polls, exit polls, election results, and the Irish Polling Indicator.
10 Nov 2024
Irish Polling Indicator, update September 2024
Recent polls reveal significant shifts in party support as Ireland approaches its next General Election. Fine Gael has seen an increase in popularity following a change in leadership. At the same time, Sinn Féin has experienced a notable decline across all age groups.
25 Sep 2024
Irish Polling Indicator, update May 2024
The 2024 Local and European Parliament Elections are approaching fast. The obvious question is whether current polls about support for General Elections can predict the outcomes of these two “second-order” elections in less than a month.
10 May 2024
Irish Polling Indicator, update January 2024
The past six months have changed the political discourse in Ireland. We have observed several crucial developments since the last blog post published in July 2023. But let’s go through this step by step.
18 Jan 2024
Irish Polling Indicator, update July 2023
It looks like 2023 might break the record for the most polls published in a single year. By mid-July, newspapers have released 22 polls. But what do these regularly released polls tell us about the political landscape in Ireland?
18 Jul 2023
Irish Polling Indicator, update October 2022
The RedC poll published on Sunday marks the 30th opinion poll on party support released in 2022. Despite mentions of “bounces”, “rebounds”, and “recoveries”, we observe very little change in aggregated party support this year.
30 Oct 2022
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